Who Will Win The Great British Bake Off Series 16?
The Great British Bake Off judge Paul Hollywood went handshake crazy in the latest episode - dishing out two of his iconic gestures.
Both recipients, Tom and Jasmine, were already in the top two of the outright market on betting sites, and their prices have been cut shorter following Hollywood's latest praise.
However, Chocolate Week wasn't quite as sweet for Nadia, who became the latest amateur baker to leave the tent.
Nadia didn't get off to a great start with her Signature - which required the bakers to make six identical chocolate mousse cups - and she finished last in the Technical challenge.
Afterwards, Nadia admitted she felt "out of [her] depth", and she ran out of time in the Showstopper.
Handshake Duo Shorten
It was a different story for Jasmine and Tom, who were both beaming upon receiving Hollywood Handshakes in episode five.
Jasmine received one for her Showstopper, in which the contestants were tasked with making a spectacular chocolatey fondue display, and show judge Dame Prue Leith praised Jasmine for a "really excellent display".
Both Jasmine and Tom were in line for Star Baker, which would have been Jasmine's third in a row, but they narrowly lost out to Aaron.
Despite that, Tom had another strong episode.
The Great British Bake Off Winner Odds:
Contestant | Odds | Probability |
Jasmine | 11/8 | 42.1% |
Tom | 6/4 | 40% |
Aaron | 2/1 | 33.3% |
Lesley | 3/1 | 25% |
Nataliia | 4/1 | 20% |
Iain | 6/1 | 14.3% |
Toby | 8/1 | 11.1% |
Paul said his Signature effort was "very neat", and "very Tom", before giving him the ultimate praise.
He commended his "exceptional" chocolate mousse cups and said they wouldn't look out of place on sale in a patisserie in Paris.
Paul then gave Tom a Hollywood Handshake, and the amateur baker has been cut to 6/4 second favourite on betting apps to win this year's Bake Off.
But he is still behind frontrunner Jasmine, who is into 11/8 from 6/4.
Aaron Hits Right Notes
Aaron has joined the top three in the outright market, following a successful Chocolate Week.
He is into 2/1 third favourite after winning his first Star Baker award of the series.
Aaron got off to a great start in Chocolate Week, with Prue praising the flavours of his Signature as "heavenly".
He finished third in the Technical and also impressed in the Showstopper with an intricate chocolate piano display.
Aaron seemed gutted he didn't receive a Hollywood Handshake for his piano effort, but he more than made up for it when he was named Star Baker.
Afterwards, Paul said he was the "most consistent" in episode five, and said Aaron's piano Showstopper was one of the "best things" he has seen in Chocolate Week for "a long time".
Elsewhere, Lesley is into 3/1 fourth favourite after she won the Technical.
She was "over the moon" with the victory, admitting it had given her "a boost".
Toby Dodges A Bullet
One Bake Off contestant in need of a boost is Toby.
He is into 13/8 favourite to go home on Tuesday night, after nearly exiting the tent in Chocolate Week.
During the episode, Toby feared he was going home, and he didn't get much of a confidence boost from the judges when they critiqued his Showstopper.
The Great British Bake Off Next Elimination Odds:
Contestant | Odds | Probability |
Toby | 13/8 | 38.1% |
Iain | 15/8 | 34.8% |
Nataliia | 2/1 | 33.3% |
Lesley | 3/1 | 25% |
Aaron | 4/1 | 20% |
Tom | 6/1 | 14.3% |
Jasmine | 7/1 | 12.5% |
Paul said Toby's campsite chocolate fondue was "a bit disappointing" and his cake was "bone dry".
After narrowly surviving the episode, Toby felt he had "dodged a bullet", and vowed to get his head down ahead of Tuesday night's Pastry Week.
Iain and Nataliia received some praise for their Showstoppers in Chocolate Week, but after finishing seventh and sixth in the Technical respectively, behind eighth-placed Nadia, they could also be in contention for a week-six exit.
* Reminder: These are hypothetical odds provided by industry experts.
Who will get the next Hollywood Handshake? And which baker will end up with a 'soggy bottom'?
Leave your thoughts and predictions for the Great British Bake Off in the comments below!
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